Belgrano Cordoba 2-0 Defensa y Justicia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 24 Feb 2025

📅24/02/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.33
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.68
Over 2.5
36%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.66
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
3.92
6+ Goals
8%
18.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 32% vs market 29.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.57
1/2
9%
33.5
1/X
9%
12.7
X/1
15%
5.35
X/2
14%
6.11
X/X
13%
4.04
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
13%
4.38
2/X
10%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
39%
-8.0pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.1pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.7pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belgrano Cordoba EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +15%
1.04/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.25
+1% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +36%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
252 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 74%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
24.3 Crosses 17.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belgrano Cordoba
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.34 xG 1.15
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
259 Passes 367
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 1-2 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
08.03.2024 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 1-1 HT 0-1 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
17.10.2023 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 0-2 HT 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
14.06.2023 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 2-0 HT 1-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
01.09.2018 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 1-1 HT 0-1 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
13.03.2018 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 1-1 HT 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belgrano Cordoba
2-0
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
1.26 xG 0.40
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 10
247 Passes 317
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 24
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Belgrano Cordoba vs Defensa y Justicia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belgrano Cordoba got the better of Defensa y Justicia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 32% / 37%) promised a tight game; Belgrano Cordoba found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Belgrano Cordoba had 44% of the ball to Defensa y Justicia's 56%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.26 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensa y Justicia led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Belgrano Cordoba and 1.17 for Defensa y Justicia.

What was the final score of Belgrano Cordoba vs Defensa y Justicia?

Belgrano Cordoba 2-0 Defensa y Justicia in the Argentina - Premier League on 24/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belgrano Cordoba vs Defensa y Justicia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Defensa y Justicia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Belgrano Cordoba 31%, draw 32%, Defensa y Justicia 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Defensa y Justicia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Defensa y Justicia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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