Atletico Tucuman 0-1 Gimnasia La Plata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 24 Feb 2025

📅24/02/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
21%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
16%
4.42
6+ Goals
9%
24.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.39 — our 35% vs market 33.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.81
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
9%
4.41
X/2
8%
7.32
X/X
15%
4.02
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
9%
6.11
2/X
8%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+1.2pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
21%
Away Win
25%
-3.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.9pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -16%
1.29/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.26
+14% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
278 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 71%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
22.0 Crosses 18.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Tucuman
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.46 xG 0.81
47% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
253 Passes 279
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
23.05.2024 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-2 HT 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJK
07.04.2024 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 3-2 HT 1-1 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
11.11.2023 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
12.07.2023 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 2-0 HT 2-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
11.07.2022 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 2-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Tucuman
0-1
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata
0.38 xG 0.91
64% Ball Possession 36%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
375 Passes 181
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
12 Box Touches 22
32 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Tucuman vs Gimnasia La Plata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia La Plata squeezed past Atletico Tucuman 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Tucuman at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Tucuman had 64% of the ball to Gimnasia La Plata's 36%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 0.38 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Tucuman had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Atletico Tucuman and 1.00 for Gimnasia La Plata.

What was the final score of Atletico Tucuman vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Atletico Tucuman 0-1 Gimnasia La Plata in the Argentina - Premier League on 24/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Tucuman vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tucuman 48%, draw 31%, Gimnasia La Plata 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Tucuman) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Tucuman) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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