Gimnasia La Plata 1-0 Atletico Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.29
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
5.47
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.92
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.95
X/1
15%
5.21
X/2
8%
5.66
X/X
15%
3.57
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
17%
4.42
2/X
5%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.8pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.9pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.3pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
1.16/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.45
-2% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
283 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
23.0 Crosses 16.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.92 xG 1.47
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
274 Passes 228
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.05.2024 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-2 HT 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJK
07.04.2024 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 3-2 HT 1-1 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
11.11.2023 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
12.07.2023 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 2-0 HT 2-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
11.07.2022 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 2-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
09.04.2022 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-2 HT 1-1 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
1-0
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
0.54 xG 1.16
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
188 Passes 318
64% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 26
27 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gimnasia La Plata vs Atletico Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia La Plata edged past Atletico Tucuman 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Gimnasia La Plata found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gimnasia La Plata had 42% of the ball to Atletico Tucuman's 58%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.54 to 1.16 — on chances, Atletico Tucuman could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Tucuman led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gimnasia La Plata and 1.83 for Atletico Tucuman.

What was the final score of Gimnasia La Plata vs Atletico Tucuman?

Gimnasia La Plata 1-0 Atletico Tucuman in the Argentina - Premier League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia La Plata vs Atletico Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia La Plata win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia La Plata 39%, draw 28%, Atletico Tucuman 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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