Barcelona SC 1-0 Mushuc Runa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 24 Feb 2025

📅24/02/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
2.03
Over
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No Pick
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
40%
4-5
22%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
51%
Home Win
61%
-9.6pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.0pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+5.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona SC The Market 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Mushuc Runa The Market 21%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.56/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.72
+9% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -16%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 72%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
18.1 Crosses 17.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona SC
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Mushuc Runa
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.86 xG 1.12
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
263 Passes 170
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
01.12.2024 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 2-2 HT 1-1 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
03.06.2024 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-0 HT 0-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
27.08.2023 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 2-2 HT 0-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
02.04.2023 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-0 HT 0-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
08.08.2022 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 4-1 HT 2-1 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
20.03.2022 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-1 HT 1-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona SC
1-0
AWAY Mushuc Runa
1.54 xG 0.15
71% Ball Possession 29%
16 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 6
313 Passes 83
78% Pass Accuracy 51%
25 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Barcelona SC vs Mushuc Runa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona SC edged past Mushuc Runa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Barcelona SC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Barcelona SC had 71% of the ball to Mushuc Runa's 29%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.54 to 0.15 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Barcelona SC's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona SC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Barcelona SC and 1.17 for Mushuc Runa.

What was the final score of Barcelona SC vs Mushuc Runa?

Barcelona SC 1-0 Mushuc Runa in the Ecuador - Premier on 24/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona SC vs Mushuc Runa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona SC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Barcelona SC 51%, draw 26%, Mushuc Runa 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona SC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona SC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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