Vizela U23 3-1 Benfica U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 24 Feb 2025

📅24/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.23
Over 2.5
65%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.2pp
35%
Under 2.5
41%
-6.4pp
65%
Over 2.5
59%
+6.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.5pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vizela U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 45%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.20/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/1.65
+55% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
254 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vizela U23
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Benfica U23
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
09.04.2024 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 2-2 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
06.02.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 3-1 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vizela U23
3-1
AWAY Benfica U23
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vizela U23 vs Benfica U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vizela U23 got the better of Benfica U23 3-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Vizela U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vizela U23 had 56% of the ball to Benfica U23's 44%, shots finished 14-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Benfica U23 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vizela U23 and 2.50 for Benfica U23.

What was the final score of Vizela U23 vs Benfica U23?

Vizela U23 3-1 Benfica U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 24/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vizela U23 vs Benfica U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vizela U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vizela U23 39%, draw 25%, Benfica U23 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vizela U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vizela U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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