Northampton Town vs Port Vale Prediction — Model Probabilities
Northampton Town v Port Vale — Team-Based Signals
Northampton Town vs Port Vale Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Northampton Town 0-1 Port Vale — Actual Match Statistics
Port Vale shaded a tight game against Northampton Town 1-0 on their travels.
We leaned Northampton Town at 42% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (56%) came home.
Under the surface, Northampton Town had 60% of the ball to Port Vale's 40%, shots finished 8-6, expected goals 0.79 to 0.32 — by the quality of chances, Northampton Town deserved more.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Northampton Town and 0.33 for Port Vale.
Northampton Town vs Port Vale Result & Final Score
Northampton Town 0 - 1 Port Vale in the England - League One on 24/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Northampton Town vs Port Vale Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Northampton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Northampton Town 42%, draw 29%, Port Vale 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Northampton Town), BTTS Yes went the other way.