Casarano vs Paganese Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Casarano v Paganese — Team-Based Signals
Casarano 2-0 Paganese — Actual Match Statistics
Casarano beat Paganese 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Casarano as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Casarano had 50% of the ball to Paganese's 50%, shots finished 17-9.
What was the final score of Casarano vs Paganese?
Casarano 2-0 Paganese in the Italy - Serie D on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Casarano vs Paganese?
Before kick-off our model rated a Casarano win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Casarano 41%, draw 33%, Paganese 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Casarano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.