Poggibonsi 1-3 Tau Altopascio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
Over
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
45%
4-5
19%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
38%
+7.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
28%
Away Win
36%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Poggibonsi The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Tau Altopascio The Market 40%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-10% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Poggibonsi
1-3
AWAY Tau Altopascio
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Poggibonsi vs Tau Altopascio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tau Altopascio got the better of Poggibonsi 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Poggibonsi at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Poggibonsi had 50% of the ball to Tau Altopascio's 50%, shots finished 12-12.

What was the final score of Poggibonsi vs Tau Altopascio?

Poggibonsi 1-3 Tau Altopascio in the Italy - Serie D on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Poggibonsi vs Tau Altopascio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Poggibonsi win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Poggibonsi 46%, draw 26%, Tau Altopascio 28%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Poggibonsi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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