Team Altamura 1-0 Santa Maria Cilento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
No Pick
63%
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2-3
37%
4-5
18%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Team Altamura The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Maria Cilento The Market 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Team Altamura vs Santa Maria Cilento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Team Altamura squeezed past Santa Maria Cilento 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Team Altamura as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

What was the final score of Team Altamura vs Santa Maria Cilento?

Team Altamura 1-0 Santa Maria Cilento in the Italy - Serie D on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Team Altamura vs Santa Maria Cilento?

Before kick-off our model rated a Team Altamura win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Team Altamura 44%, draw 24%, Santa Maria Cilento 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Team Altamura), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Team Altamura) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTD More Italy - Serie D
24 Mar 2024
16:30 Casarano vs Paganese Analysis →
16:30 Poggibonsi vs Tau Altopascio Analysis →
16:30 Clodiense vs Mori Santo Stefano Analysis →
16:30 Cjarlins Muzane vs Campodarsego Analysis →
17:00 Gravina vs Barletta Analysis →
17:00 Gladiator vs Anziolavinio Analysis →