Eibar (K) 1-1 Atletico Madrid (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
5.91
Draw
33%
4.19
Away
33%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
14%
+19.7pp
33%
Draw
20%
+13.0pp
33%
Away Win
66%
-32.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.2pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 71%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.28/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/0.55
-100% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -54%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
15.0 Crosses 21.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar (K)
1-1
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K)
0.78 xG 0.81
32% Ball Possession 68%
17 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 9
161 Passes 426
64% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Eibar (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eibar (K) and Atletico Madrid (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Eibar (K) had 32% of the ball to Atletico Madrid (K)'s 68%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 0.78 to 0.81.

What was the final score of Eibar (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

Eibar (K) 1-1 Atletico Madrid (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Eibar (K) 33%, draw 33%, Atletico Madrid (K) 33%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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