Central & Western 4-4 Shatin SA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
28%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.94
Over 2.5
65%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.43
No
41%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
68%
-18.8pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.3pp
28%
Away Win
15%
+13.4pp
35%
Under 2.5
22%
+13.8pp
65%
Over 2.5
78%
-13.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.3pp
41%
BTTS No
34%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central & Western EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Shatin SA EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
4.05/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.49
+50% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central & Western
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Shatin SA
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.11.2023 Shatin SA Shatin SA 1-2 HT 0-1 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
16.04.2023 Shatin SA Shatin SA 0-3 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
09.10.2022 Central & Western Central & Western 2-1 HT 1-0 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
26.09.2021 Central & Western Central & Western 1-2 HT 0-1 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central & Western
4-4
AWAY Shatin SA
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Central & Western vs Shatin SA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central & Western and Shatin SA shared the points in a 4-4 draw. It was 3-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Central & Western at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Central & Western had 50% of the ball to Shatin SA's 50%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Central & Western had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Central & Western and 1.00 for Shatin SA.

What was the final score of Central & Western vs Shatin SA?

Central & Western 4-4 Shatin SA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central & Western vs Shatin SA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central & Western win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Central & Western 50%, draw 22%, Shatin SA 28%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Central & Western) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Central & Western) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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