Albirex Niigata (K) 1-0 Cerezo Osaka (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
39%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
-7.7pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.9pp
39%
Away Win
27%
+12.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.1pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albirex Niigata (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-1% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
298 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albirex Niigata (K)
1-0
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K)
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Albirex Niigata (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albirex Niigata (K) nicked a narrow win over Cerezo Osaka (K) 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Albirex Niigata (K) made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Albirex Niigata (K) had 48% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka (K)'s 52%, shots finished 8-9.

What was the final score of Albirex Niigata (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

Albirex Niigata (K) 1-0 Cerezo Osaka (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerezo Osaka (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata (K) 36%, draw 25%, Cerezo Osaka (K) 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cerezo Osaka (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerezo Osaka (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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