Avellino 1-0 Rossoblu Potenza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Mar 2025

📅24/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 28% vs market 23.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Avellino win — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.9pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.9pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+10.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avellino EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Rossoblu Potenza EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.55/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.81
-11% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
460 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avellino
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Rossoblu Potenza
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza 0-0 HT 0-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
14.02.2024 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza 2-2 HT 1-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
09.10.2023 Avellino Avellino 4-1 HT 4-1 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza İTC
01.02.2023 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza 2-4 HT 1-2 Avellino Avellino İTC
01.10.2022 Avellino Avellino 2-0 HT 1-0 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza İTC
30.01.2022 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza 1-3 HT 1-1 Avellino Avellino İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avellino
1-0
AWAY Rossoblu Potenza
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Avellino vs Rossoblu Potenza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avellino squeezed past Rossoblu Potenza 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Avellino as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Avellino had 40% of the ball to Rossoblu Potenza's 60%, shots finished 6-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avellino had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Avellino and 1.00 for Rossoblu Potenza.

What was the final score of Avellino vs Rossoblu Potenza?

Avellino 1-0 Rossoblu Potenza in the Italy - Serie C on 24/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avellino vs Rossoblu Potenza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Avellino 53%, draw 21%, Rossoblu Potenza 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avellino), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Avellino) ✓ BTTS No
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