Benevento 0-0 Picerno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Mar 2025

📅24/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.02
6+ Goals
9%
19.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.6 — our 34% vs market 30.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.1pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benevento EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Picerno EU Bookmakers 21%
+13% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -12%
1.73/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.34
+10% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
357 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benevento
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Picerno
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Picerno Picerno 1-0 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTC
18.02.2024 Picerno Picerno 1-2 HT 1-0 Benevento Benevento İTC
15.10.2023 Benevento Benevento 2-2 HT 0-1 Picerno Picerno İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benevento
0-0
AWAY Picerno
43% Ball Possession 57%
25 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Benevento vs Picerno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benevento and Picerno played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Benevento at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Benevento had 43% of the ball to Picerno's 57%, shots finished 25-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Benevento and 1.33 for Picerno.

What was the final score of Benevento vs Picerno?

Benevento 0-0 Picerno in the Italy - Serie C on 24/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benevento vs Picerno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Benevento 50%, draw 26%, Picerno 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Benevento) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benevento) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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