Picerno 1-2 Benevento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.7
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.4pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.6pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.3pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Picerno EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Benevento EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -12%
1.08/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/0.87
-7% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Picerno
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Benevento
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
15.10.2023 Benevento Benevento 2-2 HT 0-1 Picerno Picerno İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Picerno
1-2
AWAY Benevento
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Picerno vs Benevento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benevento edged past Picerno 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Benevento found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Picerno had 51% of the ball to Benevento's 49%, shots finished 14-10.

What was the final score of Picerno vs Benevento?

Picerno 1-2 Benevento in the Italy - Serie C on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Picerno vs Benevento?

Before kick-off our model rated a Picerno win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Picerno 36%, draw 30%, Benevento 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Picerno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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