Rossoblu Potenza 2-2 Avellino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Feb 2024

📅14/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
48%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.54
Over 2.5
35%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
5.14
6+ Goals
7%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
24%
+1.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
49%
Away Win
47%
+1.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
61%
+4.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
39%
-4.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.3pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rossoblu Potenza EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Avellino EU Bookmakers 51%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.21/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.89
+17% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
343 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rossoblu Potenza
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Avellino
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.10.2023 Avellino Avellino 4-1 HT 4-1 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza İTC
01.02.2023 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza 2-4 HT 1-2 Avellino Avellino İTC
01.10.2022 Avellino Avellino 2-0 HT 1-0 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza İTC
30.01.2022 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza 1-3 HT 1-1 Avellino Avellino İTC
26.09.2021 Avellino Avellino 1-0 HT 1-0 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza İTC
17.03.2021 Avellino Avellino 3-1 HT 1-0 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rossoblu Potenza
2-2
AWAY Avellino
38% Ball Possession 62%
16 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rossoblu Potenza vs Avellino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rossoblu Potenza and Avellino couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Avellino at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rossoblu Potenza had 38% of the ball to Avellino's 62%, shots finished 16-20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avellino led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rossoblu Potenza and 2.83 for Avellino.

What was the final score of Rossoblu Potenza vs Avellino?

Rossoblu Potenza 2-2 Avellino in the Italy - Serie C on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rossoblu Potenza vs Avellino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Rossoblu Potenza 25%, draw 27%, Avellino 49%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Avellino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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