Djurgarden 1-0 Östers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 24 Apr 2025

📅24/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
3.25
6+ Goals
11%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.72
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
18.0
X/1
17%
3.88
X/2
10%
14.3
X/X
9%
6.43
2/1
8%
22.45
2/2
8%
12.25
2/X EV+ ✗
8%
20.75
Value flag · 2/X at 20.75 — our 8% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
66%
-16.0pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.1pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+10.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Östers EU Bookmakers 17%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -13%
1.68/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/2.05
-11% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -52%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
464 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
24.1 Crosses 33.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Djurgarden
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Östers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
03.11.2013 Östers Östers 1-1 HT 1-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
30.06.2013 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-0 HT 1-0 Östers Östers İSÇ
30.10.2006 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-0 HT 0-0 Östers Östers İSÇ
14.05.2006 Östers Östers 0-3 HT 0-3 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
20.10.2004 Östers Östers 0-2 HT 0-2 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Djurgarden
1-0
AWAY Östers
1.61 xG 0.25
55% Ball Possession 45%
25 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 0
15 Corners 3
372 Passes 281
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
45 Box Touches 14
29 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Djurgarden vs Östers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Djurgarden nicked a narrow win over Östers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Djurgarden as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Djurgarden had 55% of the ball to Östers's 45%, shots finished 25-6, expected goals 1.61 to 0.25 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Djurgarden's control.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Djurgarden had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Djurgarden and 0.20 for Östers.

What was the final score of Djurgarden vs Östers?

Djurgarden 1-0 Östers in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Djurgarden vs Östers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Djurgarden win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Djurgarden 50%, draw 25%, Östers 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Djurgarden), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Djurgarden) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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