IFK Varnamo 1-2 AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 24 Apr 2025

📅24/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.51
Over 2.5
34%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.32
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
15%
5.54
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.61
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.55
X/1
12%
5.84
X/2
17%
5.17
X/X
15%
3.7
2/1
9%
35.0
2/2
11%
3.81
2/X
9%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.7pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.4pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.6pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY AIK EU Bookmakers 40%
-13% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.13/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.21
-14% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
15.7 Crosses 20.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Varnamo
1W-1D-4L
AWAY AIK
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.04 xG 1.39
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
455 Passes 398
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.02.2025 AIK AIK 2-0 HT 1-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇK
31.08.2024 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-1 HT 0-1 AIK AIK İSÇ
24.04.2024 AIK AIK 2-0 HT 2-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
12.11.2023 AIK AIK 3-1 HT 3-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
24.04.2023 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-0 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
14.08.2022 AIK AIK 2-2 HT 1-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Varnamo
1-2
AWAY AIK
0.47 xG 1.29
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
351 Passes 233
74% Pass Accuracy 66%
12 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IFK Varnamo vs AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AIK edged past IFK Varnamo 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; AIK found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, IFK Varnamo had 57% of the ball to AIK's 43%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.47 to 1.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AIK led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for IFK Varnamo and 1.67 for AIK.

What was the final score of IFK Varnamo vs AIK?

IFK Varnamo 1-2 AIK in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Varnamo vs AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Varnamo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split IFK Varnamo 36%, draw 30%, AIK 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (IFK Varnamo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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