AIK 2-0 IFK Varnamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
18%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.76
6+ Goals
11%
16.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 29% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
54%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
18%
Away Win
20%
-2.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.0pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AIK EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 23%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.47/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.00
-27% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +73%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AIK
4W-1D-1L
AWAY IFK Varnamo
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.39 xG 1.11
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
373 Passes 460
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2024 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-1 HT 0-1 AIK AIK İSÇ
24.04.2024 AIK AIK 2-0 HT 2-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
12.11.2023 AIK AIK 3-1 HT 3-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
24.04.2023 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-0 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
14.08.2022 AIK AIK 2-2 HT 1-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
24.07.2022 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 2-3 HT 0-1 AIK AIK İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AIK
2-0
AWAY IFK Varnamo
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AIK vs IFK Varnamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AIK saw off IFK Varnamo 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AIK as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, AIK had 46% of the ball to IFK Varnamo's 54%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AIK had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for AIK and 1.00 for IFK Varnamo.

What was the final score of AIK vs IFK Varnamo?

AIK 2-0 IFK Varnamo in the Sweden - Cup on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AIK vs IFK Varnamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a AIK win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split AIK 56%, draw 26%, IFK Varnamo 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AIK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AIK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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