Degerfors 0-1 Trelleborgs FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
33%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.87
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
27%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
9.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
57%
-14.2pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
33%
Away Win
20%
+12.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.1pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Degerfors EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Trelleborgs FF EU Bookmakers 23%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
3.58/2.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/0.87
+82% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% / +102%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Degerfors
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Trelleborgs FF
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Degerfors Degerfors 2-0 HT 1-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
29.04.2024 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 1-1 HT 1-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
25.10.2020 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 1-1 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
18.07.2020 Degerfors Degerfors 1-0 HT 0-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
17.08.2019 Degerfors Degerfors 2-2 HT 1-1 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
08.06.2019 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 0-0 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Degerfors
0-1
AWAY Trelleborgs FF
67% Ball Possession 33%
24 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Degerfors vs Trelleborgs FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trelleborgs FF squeezed past Degerfors 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Degerfors at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Degerfors had 67% of the ball to Trelleborgs FF's 33%, shots finished 24-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Degerfors had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Degerfors and 0.67 for Trelleborgs FF.

What was the final score of Degerfors vs Trelleborgs FF?

Degerfors 0-1 Trelleborgs FF in the Sweden - Cup on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Degerfors vs Trelleborgs FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Degerfors win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Degerfors 43%, draw 25%, Trelleborgs FF 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Degerfors) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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