IFK Varnamo 0-1 AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.84
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.12
6+ Goals
10%
19.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 34% vs market 29.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.77
1/2
8%
27.0
1/X
8%
14.4
X/1
16%
7.32
X/2
19%
4.31
X/X
12%
4.29
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
15%
2.74
2/X
5%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-5.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.2pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY AIK EU Bookmakers 50%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.04/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.23
+0% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +12%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
261 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 81%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
16.5 Crosses 20.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Varnamo
1W-1D-3L
AWAY AIK
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.13 xG 1.56
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
451 Passes 403
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.04.2024 AIK AIK 2-0 HT 2-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
12.11.2023 AIK AIK 3-1 HT 3-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
24.04.2023 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-0 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
14.08.2022 AIK AIK 2-2 HT 1-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
24.07.2022 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 2-3 HT 0-1 AIK AIK İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Varnamo
0-1
AWAY AIK
1.05 xG 0.56
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
507 Passes 224
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 18
30 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IFK Varnamo vs AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AIK squeezed past IFK Varnamo 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AIK as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, IFK Varnamo had 66% of the ball to AIK's 34%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.05 to 0.56 — on chances, IFK Varnamo could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, AIK led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for IFK Varnamo and 2.00 for AIK.

What was the final score of IFK Varnamo vs AIK?

IFK Varnamo 0-1 AIK in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Varnamo vs AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated an AIK win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split IFK Varnamo 33%, draw 26%, AIK 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AIK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AIK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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