Mjallby 3-1 Halmstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.43
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.46 — our 26% vs market 23.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.9
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.05
X/1
18%
3.62
X/2
10%
12.1
X/X
10%
5.5
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.6
2/2
6%
9.95
2/X
9%
18.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.6 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.3pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.9pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjallby EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Halmstad EU Bookmakers 19%
-10% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -6%
1.53/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.81
-20% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
430 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
22.3 Crosses 16.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjallby
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Halmstad
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.12 xG 1.39
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
412 Passes 270
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.05.2024 Halmstad Halmstad 1-3 HT 0-3 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
22.10.2023 Halmstad Halmstad 1-1 HT 1-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
27.05.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 0-2 HT 0-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
23.09.2021 Mjallby Mjallby 0-0 HT 0-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
13.05.2021 Halmstad Halmstad 1-1 HT 1-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
21.07.2019 Mjallby Mjallby 2-0 HT 1-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjallby
3-1
AWAY Halmstad
1.95 xG 0.53
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
384 Passes 337
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mjallby vs Halmstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby saw off Halmstad 3-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mjallby as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Mjallby had 51% of the ball to Halmstad's 49%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.95 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjallby had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mjallby and 0.83 for Halmstad.

What was the final score of Mjallby vs Halmstad?

Mjallby 3-1 Halmstad in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjallby vs Halmstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Mjallby 50%, draw 26%, Halmstad 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mjallby), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mjallby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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