Vasteras SK FK 1-2 IK Sirius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.41
2-3 Goals
43%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
2.94
6+ Goals
10%
8.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.22
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
7%
12.4
X/1
11%
5.44
X/2
13%
6.23
X/X
10%
5.22
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.45
2/2
18%
3.89
2/X
10%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.8pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasteras SK FK EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +19%
1.27/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.30
-30% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
15.0 Crosses 18.7
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasteras SK FK
1W-1D-0L
AWAY IK Sirius
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.31 xG 2.91
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
345 Passes 318
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
36 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.05.2024 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-0 HT 0-0 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ
29.02.2020 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-3 HT 0-2 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasteras SK FK
1-2
AWAY IK Sirius
1.55 xG 1.27
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 8
333 Passes 371
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Box Touches 20
38 Crosses 18
POST-MATCH Vasteras SK FK vs IK Sirius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Sirius edged past Vasteras SK FK 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day IK Sirius made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Vasteras SK FK had 49% of the ball to IK Sirius's 51%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.55 to 1.27.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vasteras SK FK had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vasteras SK FK and 0.00 for IK Sirius.

What was the final score of Vasteras SK FK vs IK Sirius?

Vasteras SK FK 1-2 IK Sirius in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasteras SK FK vs IK Sirius?

Before kick-off our model rated an IK Sirius win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Vasteras SK FK 36%, draw 27%, IK Sirius 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IK Sirius), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (IK Sirius) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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