GAIS 1-1 Kalmar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 31 Aug 2024

GAIS
1-1 HT 1-1
Kalmar
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

GAIS vs Kalmar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.51
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
27%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51 — our 27% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.34
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.85
X/1
15%
4.18
X/2
12%
8.75
X/X
10%
4.94
2/1
10%
23.6
2/2
6%
6.61
2/X
6%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

GAIS v Kalmar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GAIS EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalmar EU Bookmakers 26%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -2%
1.41/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.65
-38% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
408 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
26.6 Crosses 15.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

GAIS vs Kalmar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GAIS
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kalmar
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
20 Total Shots 12
12 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
The Meetings
25.04.2024 Kalmar Kalmar 2-3 HT 1-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
02.09.2012 GAIS GAIS 1-2 HT 0-1 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
04.05.2012 Kalmar Kalmar 2-2 HT 2-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
14.08.2011 GAIS GAIS 1-0 HT 1-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
23.06.2011 Kalmar Kalmar 2-1 HT 1-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
18.09.2010 Kalmar Kalmar 3-1 HT 1-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ

GAIS 1-1 Kalmar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GAIS
1-1
AWAY Kalmar
0.64 xG 2.05
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
249 Passes 477
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH GAIS vs Kalmar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GAIS and Kalmar shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was GAIS at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, GAIS had 38% of the ball to Kalmar's 62%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 0.64 to 2.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kalmar led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for GAIS and 1.83 for Kalmar.

What was the final score of GAIS vs Kalmar?

GAIS 1-1 Kalmar in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GAIS vs Kalmar?

Before kick-off our model rated a GAIS win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split GAIS 49%, draw 25%, Kalmar 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (GAIS) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (GAIS) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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