Norrköping 2-3 Göteborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 24 Apr 2025

Norrköping
2-3 HT 2-0
Göteborg
📅24/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

Norrköping vs Göteborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
11.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.36 — our 26% vs market 25.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.4
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
9%
12.4
X/1
12%
5.59
X/2
12%
6.4
X/X
10%
4.84
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
26.0
2/2
17%
4.2
2/X
7%
12.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.6pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Norrköping v Göteborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norrköping EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Göteborg EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
1.56/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.37
+16% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 81%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
23.6 Crosses 21.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5

Norrköping vs Göteborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norrköping
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Göteborg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.45 xG 1.38
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
314 Passes 291
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.10.2024 Norrköping Norrköping 0-2 HT 0-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
20.04.2024 Göteborg Göteborg 1-1 HT 1-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
07.08.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 3-0 HT 2-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
01.05.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 1-1 HT 1-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
05.03.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 0-4 HT 0-2 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇK
01.08.2022 Göteborg Göteborg 2-0 HT 1-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ

Norrköping 2-3 Göteborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norrköping
2-3
AWAY Göteborg
1.42 xG 2.46
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 11
245 Passes 325
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 34
23 Crosses 37
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Norrköping vs Göteborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göteborg squeezed past Norrköping 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Göteborg found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Norrköping had 43% of the ball to Göteborg's 57%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.42 to 2.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Norrköping and 1.00 for Göteborg.

What was the final score of Norrköping vs Göteborg?

Norrköping 2-3 Göteborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norrköping vs Göteborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norrköping win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Norrköping 39%, draw 26%, Göteborg 35%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Norrköping) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Norrköping) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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