USM Oujda 0-4 Raja Beni Mellal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 24 Apr 2025

📅24/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
35%
2.7
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
34%
4-5
22%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.9pp
35%
Draw
33%
+2.1pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.1pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Oujda EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Raja Beni Mellal EU Bookmakers 40%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.10/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.34
+6% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% / -24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Oujda
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Raja Beni Mellal
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 5
14.12.2024 Raja Beni Mellal Raja Beni Mellal 1-1 USM Oujda FAS2
18.11.2023 USM Oujda 1-1 HT 1-0 Raja Beni Mellal Raja Beni Mellal FAS2
02.12.2022 USM Oujda 1-0 HT 1-0 Raja Beni Mellal Raja Beni Mellal FAS2
POST-MATCH USM Oujda vs Raja Beni Mellal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raja Beni Mellal swept aside USM Oujda 4-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (29% / 35% / 36%) promised a tight game; Raja Beni Mellal found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, USM Oujda had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for USM Oujda and 0.67 for Raja Beni Mellal.

What was the final score of USM Oujda vs Raja Beni Mellal?

USM Oujda 0-4 Raja Beni Mellal in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Oujda vs Raja Beni Mellal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Raja Beni Mellal win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split USM Oujda 29%, draw 35%, Raja Beni Mellal 36%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Raja Beni Mellal), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Raja Beni Mellal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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