Chabab Ben Guerir 1-3 Wydad Fes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 24 Apr 2025

📅24/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
35%
2.7
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.44
No
55%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
43%
4-5
19%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.5pp
35%
Draw
34%
+1.4pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
37%
+8.5pp
55%
BTTS No
63%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chabab Ben Guerir EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Wydad Fes EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -14%
0.77/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/0.93
-33% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chabab Ben Guerir
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Wydad Fes
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
53% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.12.2024 Wydad Fes Wydad Fes 2-1 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir FAS2
26.05.2024 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir 1-0 HT 1-0 Wydad Fes Wydad Fes FAS2
25.11.2023 Wydad Fes Wydad Fes 1-1 HT 0-0 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir FAS2
05.04.2023 Wydad Fes Wydad Fes 3-1 HT 1-1 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir FAS2
16.10.2022 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir 2-0 HT 0-0 Wydad Fes Wydad Fes FAS2
POST-MATCH Chabab Ben Guerir vs Wydad Fes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wydad Fes saw off Chabab Ben Guerir 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Chabab Ben Guerir at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Chabab Ben Guerir and 1.20 for Wydad Fes.

What was the final score of Chabab Ben Guerir vs Wydad Fes?

Chabab Ben Guerir 1-3 Wydad Fes in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chabab Ben Guerir vs Wydad Fes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chabab Ben Guerir win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chabab Ben Guerir 43%, draw 35%, Wydad Fes 22%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chabab Ben Guerir) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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