Roda 1-1 ADO Den Haag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 24 Apr 2025

📅24/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.23
Over
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
24%
4.41
2-3
44%
1.87
4-5
21%
2.77
6+
11%
7.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.79
1/2
8%
22.0
1/X
10%
13.15
X/1
9%
7.33
X/2
15%
5.19
X/X
9%
5.61
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
22%
2.81
2/X
8%
12.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.0 — our 8% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.3pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roda EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 49%
-10% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -8%
1.13/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.18
-20% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
17.7 Crosses 20.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roda
3W-2D-1L
AWAY ADO Den Haag
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.30 xG 0.94
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
334 Passes 314
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 3-0 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL2
08.03.2024 Roda Roda 2-2 HT 1-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
18.08.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 0-3 HT 0-3 Roda Roda HOL2
07.04.2023 Roda Roda 1-1 HT 0-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
16.11.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 0-1 HT 0-0 Roda Roda HOL2
21.01.2022 Roda Roda 5-0 HT 1-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roda
1-1
AWAY ADO Den Haag
1.15 xG 0.80
67% Ball Possession 33%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
489 Passes 193
85% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Roda vs ADO Den Haag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roda and ADO Den Haag shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was ADO Den Haag at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Roda had 67% of the ball to ADO Den Haag's 33%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.15 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Roda and 1.00 for ADO Den Haag.

What was the final score of Roda vs ADO Den Haag?

Roda 1-1 ADO Den Haag in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roda vs ADO Den Haag?

Before kick-off our model rated an ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Roda 29%, draw 27%, ADO Den Haag 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (ADO Den Haag) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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