Avellino 2-0 FC Bari 1908 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 24 Apr 2026

📅24/04/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.74
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.96
6+ Goals
9%
18.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.57
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
16%
4.36
X/2
8%
7.89
X/X
11%
4.31
2/1
10%
26.0
2/2
12%
6.42
2/X
9%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.8pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avellino EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 27%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -16%
1.47/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.49
-18% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 78%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
29.1 Crosses 17.1
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avellino
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FC Bari 1908
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.69 xG 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
347 Passes 201
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
32 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.12.2025 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-1 HT 0-0 Avellino Avellino İTB
10.04.2022 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-0 HT 1-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
06.12.2021 Avellino Avellino 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTC
10.04.2021 Avellino Avellino 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTC
20.12.2020 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 4-1 HT 4-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
01.03.2020 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-1 HT 1-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avellino
2-0
AWAY FC Bari 1908
2.81 xG 0.51
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 4
414 Passes 255
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 12
29 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Avellino vs FC Bari 1908
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avellino beat FC Bari 1908 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Avellino as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Avellino had 60% of the ball to FC Bari 1908's 40%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.81 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Bari 1908 led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Avellino and 1.50 for FC Bari 1908.

What was the final score of Avellino vs FC Bari 1908?

Avellino 2-0 FC Bari 1908 in the Italy - Serie B on 24/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avellino vs FC Bari 1908?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Avellino 48%, draw 26%, FC Bari 1908 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avellino), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avellino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İTB More Italy - Serie B
24 Apr 2026
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