FC Bari 1908 1-1 Avellino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 27 Dec 2025

📅27/12/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.6
Over 2.5
51%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.49
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
4.59
6+ Goals
10%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.49
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
12%
5.22
X/2
10%
6.52
X/X
12%
3.79
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
32.5
2/2
17%
4.95
2/X
6%
13.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 32.5 — our 9% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.6pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.4pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Avellino EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
1.41/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.32
-11% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
22.9 Crosses 21.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Bari 1908
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Avellino
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
10.04.2022 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-0 HT 1-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
06.12.2021 Avellino Avellino 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTC
10.04.2021 Avellino Avellino 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTC
20.12.2020 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 4-1 HT 4-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
01.03.2020 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-1 HT 1-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
20.10.2019 Avellino Avellino 2-2 HT 1-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Bari 1908
1-1
AWAY Avellino
1.33 xG 0.69
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
201 Passes 347
67% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 32
18 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Bari 1908 vs Avellino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Bari 1908 and Avellino shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, FC Bari 1908 had 40% of the ball to Avellino's 60%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.33 to 0.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Bari 1908 had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Bari 1908 and 1.00 for Avellino.

What was the final score of FC Bari 1908 vs Avellino?

FC Bari 1908 1-1 Avellino in the Italy - Serie B on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Bari 1908 vs Avellino?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Bari 1908 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Bari 1908 39%, draw 27%, Avellino 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Bari 1908), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Bari 1908) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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