Monza vs Modena Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monza v Modena — Team-Based Signals
Monza vs Modena Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Monza 1-0 Modena — Actual Match Statistics
Monza nicked a narrow win over Modena 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Monza as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Monza had 41% of the ball to Modena's 59%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.43 to 0.94 — the balance of chances actually favoured Modena.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Monza had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Monza and 0.50 for Modena.
What was the final score of Monza vs Modena?
Monza 1-0 Modena in the Italy - Serie B on 24/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monza vs Modena?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monza win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Monza 58%, draw 23%, Modena 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monza), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.