Heidelberg United 2-1 Avondale Heights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 24 Apr 2026

📅24/04/2026 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.8pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heidelberg United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Avondale Heights EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.55/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.43
-6% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses 16.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 4.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heidelberg United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Avondale Heights
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 10
8 Corners 5
6 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2025 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 2-1 HT 0-1 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
25.04.2025 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 3-1 HT 3-0 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
28.06.2024 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 1-1 HT 0-0 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
23.03.2024 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 0-0 HT 0-0 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
15.07.2023 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 1-1 HT 1-0 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
15.04.2023 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 8-2 HT 5-1 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Heidelberg United vs Avondale Heights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heidelberg United nicked a narrow win over Avondale Heights 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Heidelberg United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avondale Heights led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Heidelberg United and 2.17 for Avondale Heights.

What was the final score of Heidelberg United vs Avondale Heights?

Heidelberg United 2-1 Avondale Heights in the Australia - National Premier League on 24/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heidelberg United vs Avondale Heights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heidelberg United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Heidelberg United 41%, draw 25%, Avondale Heights 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heidelberg United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Heidelberg United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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