TPS Turku 1-1 Gnistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 24 Apr 2026

TPS Turku
1-1 HT 0-0
Gnistan
📅24/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Finland - Veikkausliiga – 2026

TPS Turku vs Gnistan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.0
Over
55%
1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.59
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.63
2-3
39%
1.78
4-5
22%
3.12
6+
14%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.12
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
7%
12.25
X/1
14%
5.28
X/2
13%
6.54
X/X
14%
4.86
2/1 ✗
7%
24.35
2/2
9%
4.37
2/X
8%
12.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.35 — our 7% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

TPS Turku v Gnistan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME TPS Turku The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gnistan The Market 34%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.22 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.52
1.20 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.66
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Average Defensevs comparable teams Weak
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
– Crosses 19.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.2

TPS Turku vs Gnistan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TPS Turku
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Gnistan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.02.2026 TPS Turku TPS Turku 0-2 HT 0-2 Gnistan Gnistan FLK
17.09.2023 Gnistan Gnistan 2-0 HT 1-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FINY
23.07.2023 Gnistan Gnistan 0-3 HT 0-1 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
13.05.2023 TPS Turku TPS Turku 0-2 HT 0-1 Gnistan Gnistan FİN2
03.09.2022 TPS Turku TPS Turku 5-0 HT 2-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN2
22.06.2022 Gnistan Gnistan 0-1 HT 0-1 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2

TPS Turku 1-1 Gnistan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TPS Turku
1-1
AWAY Gnistan
0.57 xG 0.87
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
349 Passes 203
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 6
REVIEW TPS Turku vs Gnistan
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

TPS Turku and Gnistan traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. Half-time: 0-0.

We leaned TPS Turku at 43% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

Under the surface, possession split 61% to 39% in TPS Turku's favour, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.57 to 0.87.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for TPS Turku against 1.00 for Gnistan.

TPS Turku vs Gnistan Result & Final Score

TPS Turku 1-1 Gnistan in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 24/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

TPS Turku vs Gnistan Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a TPS Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split TPS Turku 43%, draw 29%, Gnistan 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (TPS Turku), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (TPS Turku) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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