VPS 3-2 Ilves Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 24 Apr 2026

📅24/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
2.03
Over
44%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.59
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
33%
3.79
2-3
40%
1.8
4-5
18%
3.03
6+
9%
9.88
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.79 — our 33% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.1
1/2
7%
23.1
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
11%
7.39
X/2
13%
4.93
X/X
15%
5.02
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
25%
2.73
2/X
6%
12.3
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME VPS The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves Tampere The Market 49%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.42 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.43
1.33 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.93
Average Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Great
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 83%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.8
20.5 Crosses 20.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VPS
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Ilves Tampere
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.15 xG 1.24
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
390 Passes 409
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.02.2026 VPS VPS 1-2 HT 1-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FLK
14.07.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-2 HT 1-0 VPS VPS FİN
02.05.2025 VPS VPS 1-0 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
15.02.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-0 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FLK
04.10.2024 VPS VPS 0-2 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
21.07.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-2 HT 1-2 VPS VPS FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VPS
3-2
AWAY Ilves Tampere
2.49 xG 1.23
39% Ball Possession 61%
24 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 5
189 Passes 377
66% Pass Accuracy 79%
38 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW VPS vs Ilves Tampere
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

VPS came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Ilves Tampere 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

A gentle 45% lean on Ilves Tampere didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: Ilves Tampere saw more of the ball, 61% to 39%, shots finished 24-10, expected goals 2.49 to 1.23 — on chances created, VPS won this by more than the scoreboard admits.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilves Tampere led the recent series with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for VPS against 1.83 for Ilves Tampere.

VPS vs Ilves Tampere Result & Final Score

VPS 3-2 Ilves Tampere in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 24/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

VPS vs Ilves Tampere Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split VPS 28%, draw 27%, Ilves Tampere 45%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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