VPS 1-2 Ilves Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 7 Feb 2026

📅07/02/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
49%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.19
2-3 Goals
34%
1.97
4-5 Goals
30%
2.58
6+ Goals
13%
6.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+3.5pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.2pp
49%
Away Win
57%
-7.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-0.9pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VPS EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 61%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.58
-100% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +78%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
286 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VPS
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Ilves Tampere
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.25 xG 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
361 Passes 437
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.07.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-2 HT 1-0 VPS VPS FİN
02.05.2025 VPS VPS 1-0 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
15.02.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-0 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FLK
04.10.2024 VPS VPS 0-2 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
21.07.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-2 HT 1-2 VPS VPS FİN
07.06.2024 VPS VPS 1-1 HT 1-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
POST-MATCH VPS vs Ilves Tampere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves Tampere squeezed past VPS 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ilves Tampere as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilves Tampere led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for VPS and 1.67 for Ilves Tampere.

What was the final score of VPS vs Ilves Tampere?

VPS 1-2 Ilves Tampere in the Finland - League Cup on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VPS vs Ilves Tampere?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split VPS 25%, draw 26%, Ilves Tampere 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves Tampere), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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