Znicz Pruszkow 2-2 Gornik Leczna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 24 Apr 2026

📅24/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Znicz Pruszkow EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Leczna EU Bookmakers 34%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.34/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.04
-12% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Znicz Pruszkow
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Gornik Leczna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2025 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-1 HT 0-0 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL1
01.03.2025 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-2 HT 1-0 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL1
18.08.2024 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 2-3 HT 1-1 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
17.03.2024 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-1 HT 1-0 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL1
02.09.2023 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 0-1 HT 0-1 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
17.06.2020 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-0 HT 0-0 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Znicz Pruszkow
2-2
AWAY Gornik Leczna
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Znicz Pruszkow vs Gornik Leczna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Znicz Pruszkow and Gornik Leczna couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Znicz Pruszkow at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Znicz Pruszkow had 41% of the ball to Gornik Leczna's 59%, shots finished 11-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gornik Leczna led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Znicz Pruszkow and 1.33 for Gornik Leczna.

What was the final score of Znicz Pruszkow vs Gornik Leczna?

Znicz Pruszkow 2-2 Gornik Leczna in the Poland - 1st Division on 24/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Znicz Pruszkow vs Gornik Leczna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Znicz Pruszkow win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Znicz Pruszkow 41%, draw 25%, Gornik Leczna 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Znicz Pruszkow), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Znicz Pruszkow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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