Liepaja 0-3 Valmiera / BSS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 24 May 2024

Liepaja
0-3 HT 0-2
Valmiera / BSS
📅24/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Latvia - Virsliga – 2024

Liepaja vs Valmiera / BSS Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.34
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
50%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.9
Over 2.5
55%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.99
No
46%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
16%
+8.3pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.6pp
50%
Away Win
63%
-12.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
46%
+7.8pp
46%
BTTS No
54%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Liepaja v Valmiera / BSS — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liepaja EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Valmiera / BSS EU Bookmakers 67%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -16%
0.53/2.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/0.99
-50% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +1%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 74%
7.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.7
13.5 Crosses 30.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

Liepaja vs Valmiera / BSS Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liepaja
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Valmiera / BSS
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.74 xG 2.01
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
136 Passes 405
59% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 36
10 Crosses 34
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
14.04.2024 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 0-1 HT 0-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
17.09.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 1-4 HT 0-2 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
29.06.2023 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 1-1 HT 0-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
27.05.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 1-2 HT 1-0 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
18.03.2023 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 0-1 HT 0-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
12.11.2022 Liepaja Liepaja 0-2 HT 0-0 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET

Liepaja 0-3 Valmiera / BSS — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liepaja
0-3
AWAY Valmiera / BSS
0.38 xG 1.30
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
241 Passes 522
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 42
11 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Liepaja vs Valmiera / BSS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valmiera / BSS cruised past Liepaja 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Valmiera / BSS as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Liepaja had 36% of the ball to Valmiera / BSS's 64%, shots finished 8-22, expected goals 0.38 to 1.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valmiera / BSS led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Liepaja and 1.50 for Valmiera / BSS.

What was the final score of Liepaja vs Valmiera / BSS?

Liepaja 0-3 Valmiera / BSS in the Latvia - Virsliga on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liepaja vs Valmiera / BSS?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valmiera / BSS win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 24%, draw 26%, Valmiera / BSS 50%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valmiera / BSS), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valmiera / BSS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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