Östersunds FK 3-1 Örebro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 24 May 2025

Östersunds FK
3-1 HT 1-0
Örebro
📅24/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2025

Östersunds FK vs Örebro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.17
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.43
6+ Goals
12%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 26% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.09
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
11%
5.05
X/2
12%
6.77
X/X
14%
4.71
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
13%
4.85
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-3.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Östersunds FK v Örebro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Östersunds FK EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Örebro EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -21%
1.35/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.74
-14% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6

Östersunds FK vs Örebro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Östersunds FK
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Örebro
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.08.2024 Örebro Örebro 4-1 HT 1-1 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
05.05.2024 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 1-1 HT 1-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
28.10.2023 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 4-3 HT 3-2 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
09.04.2023 Örebro Örebro 0-0 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
10.09.2022 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
09.05.2022 Örebro Örebro 1-0 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Östersunds FK vs Örebro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Östersunds FK beat Örebro 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Östersunds FK made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Östersunds FK and 1.50 for Örebro.

What was the final score of Östersunds FK vs Örebro?

Östersunds FK 3-1 Örebro in the Sweden - Superettan on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Östersunds FK vs Örebro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Östersunds FK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Östersunds FK 39%, draw 29%, Örebro 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Östersunds FK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Östersunds FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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