Jonsereds IF 2-1 Varbergs GIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.96
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
24%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
47%
+9.4pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.4pp
24%
Away Win
29%
-5.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.8pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jonsereds IF EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Varbergs GIF EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +0%
1.66/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/2.09
-12% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jonsereds IF
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Varbergs GIF
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
11.08.2024 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 3-2 HT 2-0 Jonsereds IF Jonsereds IF İSÇ4
13.04.2024 Jonsereds IF Jonsereds IF 1-2 HT 1-1 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Jonsereds IF vs Varbergs GIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jonsereds IF squeezed past Varbergs GIF 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jonsereds IF as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Varbergs GIF led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Jonsereds IF and 2.50 for Varbergs GIF.

What was the final score of Jonsereds IF vs Varbergs GIF?

Jonsereds IF 2-1 Varbergs GIF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jonsereds IF vs Varbergs GIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jonsereds IF win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Jonsereds IF 56%, draw 20%, Varbergs GIF 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jonsereds IF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jonsereds IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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