Varbergs GIF 3-2 Jonsereds IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.47
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.59
Over 2.5
63%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-7.3pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.6pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.8pp
37%
Under 2.5
35%
+2.4pp
63%
Over 2.5
65%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varbergs GIF EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Jonsereds IF EU Bookmakers 20%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.99/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.47
-13% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +49%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
452 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varbergs GIF
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Jonsereds IF
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
13.04.2024 Jonsereds IF Jonsereds IF 1-2 HT 1-1 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varbergs GIF
3-2
AWAY Jonsereds IF
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Varbergs GIF vs Jonsereds IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varbergs GIF nicked a narrow win over Jonsereds IF 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Varbergs GIF as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, Varbergs GIF had 46% of the ball to Jonsereds IF's 54%, shots finished 9-10.

What was the final score of Varbergs GIF vs Jonsereds IF?

Varbergs GIF 3-2 Jonsereds IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varbergs GIF vs Jonsereds IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varbergs GIF win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Varbergs GIF 56%, draw 22%, Jonsereds IF 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varbergs GIF), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Varbergs GIF) ✓ Over 2.5
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