IFK Kumla 3-1 Kongahalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.74
Over 2.5
50%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.38
No
52%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
33%
+16.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
67%
-16.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
68%
-20.1pp
52%
BTTS No
32%
+20.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Kumla EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Kongahalla EU Bookmakers 43%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.87/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/2.35
+10% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -32%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Kumla
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kongahalla
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
13.04.2024 Kongahalla 2-1 HT 1-1 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Kumla vs Kongahalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Kumla saw off Kongahalla 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kongahalla at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of IFK Kumla vs Kongahalla?

IFK Kumla 3-1 Kongahalla in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Kumla vs Kongahalla?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kongahalla win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split IFK Kumla 35%, draw 24%, Kongahalla 41%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kongahalla) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ4 More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
11 Aug 2024
13:00 Nacka Iliria vs Mjölby Analysis →
14:00 Kiruna FF vs Frösö Analysis →
15:00 Husqvarna FF vs Landvetter IS Analysis →
15:00 Varbergs GIF vs Jonsereds IF Analysis →
15:10 IFK Hassleholm vs IFK Berga Analysis →
16:00 IFK Trelleborg vs Lödde Analysis →