Nacka Iliria 5-0 Mjölby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.8pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.6pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.5pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacka Iliria EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjölby EU Bookmakers 29%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.02/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.28
-52% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +53%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
361 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacka Iliria
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Mjölby
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
24.09.2023 Nacka Iliria Nacka Iliria 2-0 HT 2-0 Mjölby Mjölby İSÇ4
03.06.2023 Mjölby Mjölby 3-0 HT 2-0 Nacka Iliria Nacka Iliria İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Nacka Iliria vs Mjölby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacka Iliria cruised past Mjölby 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nacka Iliria as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nacka Iliria and 1.50 for Mjölby.

What was the final score of Nacka Iliria vs Mjölby?

Nacka Iliria 5-0 Mjölby in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacka Iliria vs Mjölby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacka Iliria win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Nacka Iliria 47%, draw 27%, Mjölby 26%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacka Iliria), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacka Iliria) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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