IFK Hassleholm 1-4 IFK Berga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒15:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.33
Draw
19%
3.45
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.53
No
52%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
39%
+7.1pp
19%
Draw
25%
-5.9pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.8pp
52%
BTTS No
39%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Hassleholm EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Berga EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -38%
1.66/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/2.32
-7% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Hassleholm
3W-3D-0L
AWAY IFK Berga
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 5
13.04.2024 IFK Berga IFK Berga 0-0 HT 0-0 IFK Hassleholm IFK Hassleholm İSÇ4
10.09.2023 IFK Berga IFK Berga 1-3 HT 1-1 IFK Hassleholm IFK Hassleholm İSÇ4
13.05.2023 IFK Hassleholm IFK Hassleholm 2-1 HT 1-0 IFK Berga IFK Berga İSÇ4
30.07.2022 IFK Berga IFK Berga 1-1 HT 1-0 IFK Hassleholm IFK Hassleholm İSÇ4
02.04.2022 IFK Hassleholm IFK Hassleholm 1-1 HT 1-0 IFK Berga IFK Berga İSÇ4
07.08.2021 IFK Hassleholm IFK Hassleholm 3-2 HT 0-0 IFK Berga IFK Berga İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Hassleholm vs IFK Berga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Berga swept aside IFK Hassleholm 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was IFK Hassleholm at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, IFK Hassleholm had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for IFK Hassleholm and 1.00 for IFK Berga.

What was the final score of IFK Hassleholm vs IFK Berga?

IFK Hassleholm 1-4 IFK Berga in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Hassleholm vs IFK Berga?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Hassleholm win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split IFK Hassleholm 46%, draw 19%, IFK Berga 35%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (IFK Hassleholm), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IFK Hassleholm) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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