Vanersborgs FK 2-1 IFK Kumla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
44%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-3.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+3.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.6pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs FK EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Kumla EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.73/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/2.09
+3% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -24%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
267 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vanersborgs FK
1W-0D-4L
AWAY IFK Kumla
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.10.2024 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 0-4 HT 0-1 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
15.06.2024 IFK Kumla 3-2 HT 1-1 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
09.04.2022 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 0-1 HT 0-1 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
16.10.2021 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 4-1 HT 4-1 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
14.08.2021 IFK Kumla 1-0 HT 0-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs FK vs IFK Kumla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vanersborgs FK edged past IFK Kumla 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was IFK Kumla at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, IFK Kumla led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Vanersborgs FK and 2.00 for IFK Kumla.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs FK vs IFK Kumla?

Vanersborgs FK 2-1 IFK Kumla in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs FK vs IFK Kumla?

Before kick-off our model rated an IFK Kumla win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs FK 31%, draw 25%, IFK Kumla 44%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IFK Kumla) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IFK Kumla) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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