Leganes 3-0 Valladolid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.29
Over 2.5
63%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.38
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
2.78
6+ Goals
18%
7.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
69%
-7.0pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.7pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+5.2pp
37%
Under 2.5
40%
-2.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
60%
+2.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.7pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leganes EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Valladolid EU Bookmakers 16%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -14%
3.50/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.62
+63% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -25%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
14.5 Crosses 15.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leganes
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Valladolid
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.50 xG 1.12
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
268 Passes 420
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.10.2024 Leganes Leganes 3-1 Valladolid Valladolid HAZ
28.08.2024 Valladolid Valladolid 0-0 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS1
03.02.2024 Leganes Leganes 0-0 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
17.11.2023 Valladolid Valladolid 1-1 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
22.07.2023 Leganes Leganes 4-1 Valladolid Valladolid HAZ
02.01.2022 Valladolid Valladolid 1-0 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leganes
3-0
AWAY Valladolid
2.13 xG 0.39
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
405 Passes 319
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 6
13 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leganes vs Valladolid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leganes swept aside Valladolid 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Leganes as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Leganes had 55% of the ball to Valladolid's 45%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 2.13 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leganes had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Leganes and 0.67 for Valladolid.

What was the final score of Leganes vs Valladolid?

Leganes 3-0 Valladolid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leganes vs Valladolid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leganes win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Leganes 62%, draw 20%, Valladolid 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leganes), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leganes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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