Deportivo Alaves 1-1 Osasuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
Over 2.5
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
19%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+4.6pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.2pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-4.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.5pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna EU Bookmakers 43%
+6% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.18/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.88
+0% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +22%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
249 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 76%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
22.3 Crosses 23.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Osasuna
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.94 xG 1.64
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
252 Passes 342
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.12.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 2-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
10.08.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 1-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves HAZ
04.03.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
01.10.2023 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-2 HT 0-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
10.04.2022 Osasuna Osasuna 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
18.09.2021 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-2 HT 0-2 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves
1-1
AWAY Osasuna
1.97 xG 1.66
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
273 Passes 317
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 33
15 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves vs Osasuna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Alaves and Osasuna shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves had 47% of the ball to Osasuna's 53%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 1.97 to 1.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osasuna led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 1.50 for Osasuna.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves vs Osasuna?

Deportivo Alaves 1-1 Osasuna in the Spain - Primera Liga on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves vs Osasuna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 35%, draw 30%, Osasuna 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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