Osasuna 1-2 Deportivo Alaves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.67
Over 2.5
37%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.31
6+ Goals
9%
21.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 36% vs market 30.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.04
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
19%
4.5
X/2
14%
6.54
X/X
15%
4.18
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
11%
5.13
2/X
6%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.0pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osasuna EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Alaves EU Bookmakers 32%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.43/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.76
-11% / +114% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +97%
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
239 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osasuna
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.30 xG 0.89
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
277 Passes 280
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.03.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
01.10.2023 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-2 HT 0-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
10.04.2022 Osasuna Osasuna 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
18.09.2021 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-2 HT 0-2 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
27.02.2021 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-1 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
31.12.2020 Osasuna Osasuna 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osasuna
1-2
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Osasuna vs Deportivo Alaves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Alaves nicked a narrow win over Osasuna 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Osasuna at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Osasuna had 59% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 41%, shots finished 10-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osasuna had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Osasuna and 0.17 for Deportivo Alaves.

What was the final score of Osasuna vs Deportivo Alaves?

Osasuna 1-2 Deportivo Alaves in the Friendlies on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osasuna vs Deportivo Alaves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osasuna win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Osasuna 42%, draw 26%, Deportivo Alaves 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Osasuna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
10 Aug 2024
12:00 Mönchengladbach vs RC Strasbourg Analysis →
13:00 Burgos vs Racing Santander Analysis →
14:30 Ipswich Town vs Nice Analysis →
16:00 Dunkerque vs SV Zulte Waregem Analysis →
16:00 Southampton vs Getafe Analysis →
16:30 Mainz 05 vs Montpellier Analysis →