Osasuna 2-2 Deportivo Alaves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.29
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
5.49
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.44
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.25
X/1
18%
4.91
X/2
11%
7.58
X/X
15%
4.01
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
8%
6.37
2/X
5%
16.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+4.8pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.8pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.4pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osasuna EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Alaves EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.44/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.44
-10% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
318 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 70%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
24.4 Crosses 18.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osasuna
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.53 xG 0.71
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
305 Passes 254
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 1-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves HAZ
04.03.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
01.10.2023 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-2 HT 0-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
10.04.2022 Osasuna Osasuna 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
18.09.2021 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-2 HT 0-2 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
27.02.2021 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-1 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osasuna
2-2
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
1.96 xG 1.32
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
391 Passes 241
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 6
34 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Osasuna vs Deportivo Alaves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osasuna and Deportivo Alaves couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Osasuna at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Osasuna had 60% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 40%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.96 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osasuna had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Osasuna and 0.33 for Deportivo Alaves.

What was the final score of Osasuna vs Deportivo Alaves?

Osasuna 2-2 Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Primera Liga on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osasuna vs Deportivo Alaves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osasuna win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Osasuna 48%, draw 27%, Deportivo Alaves 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Osasuna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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