Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Athletic Bilbao v Villarreal — Team-Based Signals
Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 0-3
Athletic Bilbao
İS1
5-1
HT 2-1
Athletic Bilbao
İS1
1-0
HT 0-0
Villarreal
İS1
1-1
HT 0-1
Athletic Bilbao
İS1
2-1
HT 1-1
Villarreal
İS1
Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Villarreal — Actual Match Statistics
Athletic Bilbao saw off Villarreal 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Athletic Bilbao as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Athletic Bilbao had 42% of the ball to Villarreal's 58%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.17 to 0.78.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Athletic Bilbao and 1.67 for Villarreal.
What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal?
Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Villarreal in the Spain - Primera Liga on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao 47%, draw 26%, Villarreal 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.