Sporting Charleroi 2-1 OH Leuven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.61
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
17%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.84
2-3 Goals
42%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.74
6+ Goals
14%
7.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.02
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.25
X/1
22%
4.42
X/2
5%
10.75
X/X
13%
6.42
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
20.0
2/2
6%
7.81
2/X
5%
15.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.0 — our 7% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
58%
-1.8pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.4pp
17%
Away Win
20%
-2.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.7pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 23%
+6% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +23%
2.10/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.44
+4% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +42%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
19.5 Crosses 14.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Charleroi
0W-3D-3L
AWAY OH Leuven
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.17 xG 1.05
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
344 Passes 340
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2025 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
14.12.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
26.10.2024 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-2 HT 0-2 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
17.02.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
29.07.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-1 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
10.03.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-1 HT 0-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Charleroi
2-1
AWAY OH Leuven
2.20 xG 2.57
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
389 Passes 401
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Sporting Charleroi vs OH Leuven
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Sporting Charleroi edged past OH Leuven 2-1 in the Belgium - Pro League on 24 May 2025. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 56% and both teams to score was close to even at 57%.

On the day, Sporting Charleroi had 50% of the ball to OH Leuven's 50%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 2.20 to 2.57.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, OH Leuven lead the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Sporting Charleroi and 0.83 for OH Leuven.

What was the final score of Sporting Charleroi vs OH Leuven?

Sporting Charleroi 2-1 OH Leuven in the Belgium - Pro League on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Charleroi vs OH Leuven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sporting Charleroi 56%, draw 27%, OH Leuven 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Charleroi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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